Coming off a profitable week 5 where BYU and the JMU over took care of business from kickoff and Oregon after a slow start put the beat down we were expending on Stanford, we head into week 6 with some favorable lines we want to attack!
Just a reminder as far as units are concerned it’s up to your bank roll to determine what a unit is to you personally. For the bets I post below I’ll be using 1 unit to refer to a $100 wager being placed. The lines below are based off Draft Kings Sportsbook.
Last week 3-1
Saturday College Football
Oklahoma vs Texas
How could we not have any action on the game of the week, The Texas State Fair. The cotton bowl will pit undefeated #12 Oklahoma verse #3 Texas. Both teams have been scoring at will so far this season but are defensively minded teams.
Oklahoma brought in a swarm of transfers to fill out the defense to accommodate Brent Venables scheme. I see this game playing out as the moment Texas announces they are back.
I understand that started with their win over Alabama a few weeks back but a win over rival Oklahoma really solidifies that.
I like the way Oklahoma plays and they have the feel of a team making its way back to championship contender, but we put a pause on that this week.
I like Texas’s defense to continue to make it tough on offenses and I trust Quinn Ewers to make more plays than Dillon Gabriel.
I’ll take Texas minus the points!
1 Unit Texas minus 5.5 (-110)
Virginia Tech at Florida State
This line keeps tumbling down, and it seems like everyone is on Virginia Tech. Good for us, we will take Florida State.
I base this action being on Virginia Tech the outcome of Florida State not looking good the previous 2 games, they barely escaped a horrible Boston College team and barely got by Clemson.
Both games however were on the road, Heisman Trophy contender Jordan Travis has been banged up and the Florida State team has been reportedly battling a bug.
Virginia Tech is horrible, and Florida State has a loaded passing attack and defense that gets after the quarterback. I like them to make a statement that they will blow out very bad teams.
We are on the Noles.
1 Unit Florida State minus 23 (-110)
Washington St. at UCLA
#13 Washington State heads into the Rose Bowl for a pivotal conference game verse UCLA both coming out of the BYE week. Washington State has been on a role this season while UCLA has introduced a new aspect to their team, Defense.
The Bruins have a top 10 defense so far this season, granted they haven’t played anyone but Utah and they were without their starting quarterback.
This spread is the perennial not ranked favorite trap game. I have to risk getting trapped though, I like Washington State Quarterback Cameron Ward, they have also beaten quality teams in Wisconsin and Oregon State and I don’t like the prospects of UCLA quarterback Dante Moore keeping up with Ward.
If he does keep up, we are still getting over a field goal.
Give me Washington State and the points!
1 Unit Washington State plus 3.5 (-115)
Going to add a parlay this week as well for a half a unit (.5)
Games I don’t want to bet outright at a unit but somewhat like for a half a unit parlay.
Leg 1 of the Parlay
1st half under 24.5 Kentucky at Georgia
The past few times these teams have played the game has gone under. Georgia has been slow out of the gate so far this season and picked it up in the second half. I believe that might continue this week while they shut down Kentucky’s offense.
Leg 2 of the Parlay
Notre Dame team total over 30.5
Sam Hartman is off to an incredible season at Notre Dame throwing for 14 tds and no interceptions.
The offense however has not been able to put up points the past 2 weeks scoring 21 and 17.
The previous 4 games Notre Dame scored 41, 45, 56 and 42.
I think the offense gets back on track this week.
Leg 3 of the Parlay
USC first half minus 12.5
USC has come out firing in the first half this season averaging 31.8 first half points per game.
That means if USC scores 31 point this week in the first half, Arizona would need to score 19 for us to lose.
Being everyone loves to talk about Colorado, USC’s defense must have heard all week how bad they are.
Even though there is a look ahead spot with Notre Dame next week, I like the Trojans to come out and make an early game statement.
Plus, we have Caleb Williams on our side!
.5 unit parlay to win 2.34 units
Kentucky @ Georgia 1st half under 24.5
Over 30.5 Notre Dame Team Total Points
USC -12.5 1st half vs Arizona
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